AJE has posted a new edition of Inside Story, offering a detailed look at the situation along the disputed border between Lebanon and Israel.
While I realize we have been focusing heavily on this issue in the last few days, it is a potential flashpoint for a war that could rapidly spread throughout the region, which would have dire effects for the USA.
Think it through, my friends. Obama cannot afford to do anything but support Israel right now, with the November elections looming large, and his approval numbers in the toilet already. Netanyahu knows this, and is a master at manipulating the USA. Indeed, he has openly bragged of his ability to do so on more than one occasion.
There will not soon be another time when Israel can act with such impunity, and it would be very much unlike the Israelis not to exploit such a window of opportunity.
Now consider the quarter-million Americans deployed in Afghanistan and Iraq. Think about the routes by which their supplies reach them, mostly through Muslim countries. If Israel goes to war in Lebanon, and the USA supports Israel unconditionally, as we have always done in the past, will those Muslim countries still allow US supply routes to pass through their nations?